SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Obolon Kyiv win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
48.02% ( -0.07) | 27.95% ( 0) | 24.02% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.78% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.99% ( 0.02) | 62.01% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.26% ( 0.02) | 81.74% ( -0.02) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.98% ( -0.02) | 26.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.95% ( -0.03) | 61.05% ( 0.03) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.07) | 42.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.42% ( 0.06) | 78.58% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Obolon Kyiv |
| 1-0 @ 14.77% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 48.02% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 1.12% Total : 24.02% |
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