SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Karpaty Lviv had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Karpaty Lviv win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
60.3% ( -0.41) | 22.22% ( 0.24) | 17.48% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( -0.72) | 48.14% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( -0.66) | 70.3% ( 0.66) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( -0.7) | 44.47% ( 0.7) |
| Karpaty Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.22) | 41.14% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.32% ( -0.19) | 77.68% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Karpaty Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.22% Total : 60.3% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.22% | 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.48% |
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