Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima Antlers	Draw	Machida Zelvia
38.4% ( 1.2)	28.27% ( 0.66)	33.33% ( -1.86)

Both teams to score 46.77% (

-2.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.59% (

-2.63)

59.41% (

2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22% (

-2.06)

79.78% (

2.06)

Kashima Antlers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

-0.57)

29.96% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

-0.7)

66.08% (

0.69)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.79% (

-2.57)

33.21% (

2.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.18% (

-2.93)

69.82% (

2.93)

Score Analysis

Kashima Antlers 38.4%

Machida Zelvia 33.32%

Draw 28.27%

Kashima Antlers	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 11.99% ( 0.97) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.4%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.95) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.43) 0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.32%