Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 32.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Machida Zelvia
38.98% ( 0.72)	28.15% ( 0.18)	32.88% ( -0.9)

Both teams to score 47.03% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95% (

-0.8)

59.05% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49% (

-0.62)

79.51% (

0.62)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.55% (

0.03)

29.45% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.55% (

0.04)

65.45% (

-0.04)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

-1.03)

33.34% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

-1.15)

69.96% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol 38.98%

Machida Zelvia 32.87%

Draw 28.14%

Kashiwa Reysol	Draw	Machida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 38.98%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.87%