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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Sep 28, 2024 at 11am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
2 - 0
Machida Zelvia

Paciencia (3'), Kato (23')
Kawabe (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Fujio (51'), Dresevic (61'), Shirasaki (70')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Machida Zelvia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 20.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Machida Zelvia win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawMachida Zelvia
55.06% (0.372 0.37) 24.36% (-0.129 -0.13) 20.58% (-0.246 -0.25)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.53% (0.214 0.21)52.46% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.86% (0.183 0.18)74.14% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (0.223 0.22)18.96% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (0.372 0.37)50.48% (-0.375 -0.38)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.83% (-0.134 -0.13)40.16% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.2% (-0.122 -0.12)76.8% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 55.05%
    Machida Zelvia 20.58%
    Draw 24.36%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.84% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 55.05%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 20.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 6-2 Yokohama
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 2-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, September 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-2 FC Tokyo
Saturday, August 31 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Reysol
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Cerezo
Sunday, August 11 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 4-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, August 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, August 11 at 10am in J1 League


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