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J1 League | Gameweek 37
Nov 30, 2024 at 5am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
1 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Ota (67' og.)
Soma (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Elias (45+8'), Nakano (88')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kyoto Sanga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, November 17 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 50.34%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Machida Zelvia in this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKyoto Sanga
50.34% (0.264 0.26) 24.31% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 25.34% (-0.272 -0.27)
Both teams to score 54.33% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.259 -0.26)47.57% (0.257 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-0.24 -0.24)69.77% (0.23699999999999 0.24)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.92% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.58% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)50.42% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (-0.36199999999999 -0.36)32.99% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (-0.404 -0.4)69.57% (0.40199999999999 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 50.34%
    Kyoto Sanga 25.34%
    Draw 24.31%
Machida ZelviaDrawKyoto Sanga
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.34%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.92% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.34%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 3-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 2-1 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, November 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-4 Kawasaki
Saturday, October 5 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-0 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, November 17 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Kawasaki
Saturday, November 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 0-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, November 3 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, October 6 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, September 28 at 5am in J1 League


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