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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 5, 2024 at 7am UK
Machida Athletic Stadium

Machida Zelvia
1 - 4
Kawasaki

Nakashima (13')
Fujio (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Miura (28'), Yamada (38'), Erison (50' pen.), Marcinho (71')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Machida Zelvia and Kawasaki Frontale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 27 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Machida ZelviaDrawKawasaki Frontale
37.04% (0.176 0.18) 25.4% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 37.55% (-0.215 -0.21)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.167 -0.17)47.51% (0.166 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.155 -0.15)69.72% (0.15400000000001 0.15)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (0.021999999999991 0.02)25.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (0.030999999999999 0.03)59.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.193 -0.19)24.81% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.6% (-0.268 -0.27)59.4% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Machida Zelvia 37.04%
    Kawasaki Frontale 37.55%
    Draw 25.4%
Machida ZelviaDrawKawasaki Frontale
1-0 @ 8.61% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.95% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.009 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 37.04%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.05% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 37.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-0 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 28 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-0 Consadole
Saturday, September 21 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, September 14 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-2 Urawa
Saturday, August 31 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 Machida Zelvia
Sunday, August 25 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 4-0 Jubilo Iwata
Saturday, August 17 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 5-1 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 27 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 22 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Friday, September 13 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, September 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-3 Yokohama
Saturday, August 17 at 11am in J1 League


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