SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Machida Zelvia had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Machida Zelvia win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Machida Zelvia | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
37.04% ( 0.18) | 25.4% ( 0.04) | 37.55% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.17) | 47.51% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.15) | 69.72% ( 0.15) |
| Machida Zelvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( 0.02) | 25.09% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.21% ( 0.03) | 59.79% ( -0.03) |
| Kawasaki Frontale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.19) | 24.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.27) | 59.4% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Machida Zelvia | Draw | Kawasaki Frontale |
| 1-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 37.55% |
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