SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
68.78% ( 0) | 17.61% ( -0) | 13.6% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.02) | 34.86% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.02) | 56.84% ( -0.02) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% ( 0.01) | 9.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.85% ( 0.01) | 31.15% ( -0.01) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.03% ( 0.02) | 37.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.26% ( 0.02) | 74.74% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.72% 4-1 @ 4.57% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 4.62% Total : 68.78% | 1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.61% | 1-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 13.6% |
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