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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 61.52%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 19.69% and a draw had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (5.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
19.69% ( -1.42) | 18.78% ( -0.72) | 61.52% ( 2.14) |
| Both teams to score 66.39% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.62% ( 1.45) | 28.38% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.79% ( 1.78) | 49.21% ( -1.78) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -0.34) | 26.98% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( -0.45) | 62.33% ( 0.45) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.92% ( 0.93) | 9.07% ( -0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.15% ( 2.18) | 30.85% ( -2.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.32) 1-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.59% Total : 19.69% | 1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.42) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 18.78% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.22)2-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 4.43% ( 0.31)0-4 @ 3.38% ( 0.26)2-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.17)1-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.23)0-5 @ 1.62% ( 0.19)2-5 @ 1.39% ( 0.14)3-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 4.37% Total : 61.52% |
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