SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 45%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
32.26% ( -0.01) | 22.74% ( 0.01) | 45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 64.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.08) | 35.83% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.08% ( -0.09) | 57.91% ( 0.09) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.04) | 22.29% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -0.07) | 55.75% ( 0.07) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( -0.03) | 16.45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.85% ( -0.06) | 46.14% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.26% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.39% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 45% |
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