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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
24.18% ( -0.94) | 21.16% ( -0.37) | 54.66% ( 1.32) |
| Both teams to score 64.05% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.83) | 34.18% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.93% ( 0.93) | 56.07% ( -0.92) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.25) | 26.68% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.34) | 61.93% ( 0.34) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.36% ( 0.67) | 12.64% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.21% ( 1.37) | 38.79% ( -1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.4% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.41% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.09)3-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.46% Total : 54.66% |
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