SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 60.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
17.19% ( 0.01) | 22.52% ( 0.01) | 60.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.26% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( -0.02) | 49.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( -0.02) | 71.8% ( 0.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0) | 42.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.15% ( -0) | 78.85% ( 0.01) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.9% ( -0.01) | 16.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.49% ( -0.02) | 45.52% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.58% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 17.19% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 60.29% |
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