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KL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2023 at 8pm UK
Rugby Park
RL

Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Rangers

Stokes (6'), Wright (85')
Power (19'), Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morelos (23', 72'), Kent (51')
Morelos (36'), Kent (55')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Kilmarnock 0-2 Rangers

Kilmarnock have performed much better on home soil so far this term and they will fancy their chances of causing an upset on Wednesday. However, Rangers head to Rugby Park as favourites despite their recent record in East Ayrshire, and they should have enough quality in their side to secure a routine victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 15.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawRangers
15.82% (0.0039999999999996 0) 20.74% (0.0030000000000001 0) 63.43% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)44.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)67.07% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.84% (0.0020000000000024 0)41.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)77.69% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)40.4% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 15.82%
    Rangers 63.42%
    Draw 20.74%
KilmarnockDrawRangers
1-0 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 4.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 2.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 15.82%
1-1 @ 9.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.74%
0-2 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-5 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 63.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 14 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Celtic 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-2 Rangers
Sunday, January 8 at 4pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Celtic
Monday, January 2 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Motherwell
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Rangers
Friday, December 23 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-3 Rangers
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership


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