Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.
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