SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Nuremberg |
65.44% ( -0.29) | 17.48% ( 0.19) | 17.07% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 66.24% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.55% ( -0.74) | 26.44% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.22% ( -0.95) | 46.78% ( 0.95) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.29% ( -0.25) | 7.71% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.54% ( -0.65) | 27.46% ( 0.65) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.38) | 28.23% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.49) | 63.93% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.44% Total : 65.44% | 1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.48% Total : 17.48% | 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.83% Total : 17.08% |
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