There is little to separate these two out-of-form teams fighting for their lives ahead of Saturday's must-win contest, but the writing appears to be on the wall for Darmstadt and we can see Koln claiming a slender victory to seal the visitors' fate.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
