SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
46.07% ( 0.05) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 30.06% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -0.27) | 42.35% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.25% ( -0.27) | 64.75% ( 0.27) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( -0.09) | 18.6% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.12% ( -0.15) | 49.88% ( 0.15) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.19) | 26.81% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.26) | 62.1% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.06% |
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