SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Freiburg |
22.28% ( 3.02) | 21.7% ( 1.61) | 56.02% ( -4.64) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.97% ( -3.39) | 39.02% ( 3.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.65% ( -3.65) | 61.34% ( 3.64) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.86) | 30.92% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.79% ( 1) | 67.21% ( -1) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.15% ( -2.42) | 13.84% ( 2.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.78% ( -5) | 41.22% ( 5) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.66) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.86)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.56)3-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.24)Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.28% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.9) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.65)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.58)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.61)0-3 @ 5.52% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 3.2% ( -0.64)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.62)2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.32)1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.4)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.38)Other @ 3.43% Total : 56.02% |
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