While Freiburg have been inconsistent this season, they have done well against sides in the bottom half of the table and will feel that this is a match from which they should take all three points. With just two wins all season, it is difficult to make much of a case for Darmstadt here, and we feel that they will suffer their 19th loss of the campaign in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
3.02) 
-4.64) 
