With both teams likely to be desperate to avoid defeat, we can envisage them sharing the spoils on Friday evening. Darmstadt have drawn their last two games, while Koln had tied twice in a row prior to their expected defeat against Bayern.
It seems improbable that either of these sides will not be involved in a relegation battle for the majority of the season, making this a particularly important clash for both under-pressure managers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
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