Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
0.14) 
-0.01) 
