Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
