Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
