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J1 League | Gameweek 8
Apr 15, 2023 at 8am UK
Kyōto Nishikyogoku Stadium
GO

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Gamba Osaka

Toyokawa (22'), Patric (82')
Ichimi (48'), Shirai (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ishige (37')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 40.23%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kyoto Sanga would win this match.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawGamba Osaka
40.23% (0.032000000000004 0.03) 27.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 32.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.91% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.63% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.6% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (0.022000000000006 0.02)27.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (0.029000000000003 0.03)63.09% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)32.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)69% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 40.23%
    Gamba Osaka 32.3%
    Draw 27.45%
Kyoto SangaDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 11.53%
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-3 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, April 1 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-4 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, March 18 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 0-2 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, March 12 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 2-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, February 25 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-0 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 9 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 4-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 2-2 Consadole
Saturday, March 18 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Hiroshima
Sunday, March 12 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, March 4 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, February 25 at 6am in J1 League


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