J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Kyoto Nishikyogoku Stadium
We said: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Nagoya Grampus
As two of the division's lowest goalscorers, few people will expect this contest to emerge as a particularly entertaining encounter. With that in mind, we feel that a goal apiece seems logical, something that may be viewed as beneficial to both teams.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Nagoya Grampus |
33.72% ( 0.05) | 27.36% ( 0.02) | 38.92% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06) |
| 44.01% ( -0.08) | 55.99% ( 0.08) |
| 22.92% ( -0.07) | 77.08% ( 0.07) |
| 68.8% ( -0.01) | 31.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.01) | 67.54% ( 0.01) |
| 72% ( -0.08) | 28% ( 0.08) |
