Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.07%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Vissel Kobe
26.26% ( 0.08)	24.67% ( -0.03)	49.07% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.05% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.65% (

0.2)

48.35% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.51% (

0.19)

70.49% (

-0.19)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.34% (

0.17)

32.66% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.79% (

0.19)

69.21% (

-0.19)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.26% (

0.06)

19.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.23% (

0.1)

51.77% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 26.26%

Vissel Kobe 49.07%

Draw 24.66%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 26.26%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 49.07%