Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 25.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
