Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 16.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Sagan Tosu
61.85% ( -0.13)	21.66% ( 0.03)	16.49% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 49.49% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.6% (

0.07)

47.41% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.38% (

0.06)

69.62% (

-0.06)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

-0.02)

14.79% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.95% (

-0.04)

43.06% (

0.04)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.08% (

0.18)

41.92% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.64% (

0.15)

78.37% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 61.84%

Sagan Tosu 16.49%

Draw 21.66%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Sagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.84% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 61.84%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.49%