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J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Nishikyogoku Athletic Stadium

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 0
Vissel Kobe

Matsuda (1'), Toyokawa (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Thuler (90+3')
Kobayashi (59')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Vissel Kobe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Jeonbuk
Monday, August 22 at 8am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawVissel Kobe
30.92% (-0.607 -0.61) 26.95% (-0.785 -0.79) 42.14% (1.394 1.39)
Both teams to score 49.96% (2.097 2.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (2.767 2.77)55.07% (-2.762 -2.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (2.23 2.23)76.33% (-2.227 -2.23)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.34% (1.007 1.01)32.66% (-1.004 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.8% (1.11 1.11)69.2% (-1.107 -1.11)
Vissel Kobe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (2.037 2.04)25.82% (-2.034 -2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.22% (2.68 2.68)60.78% (-2.677 -2.68)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 30.92%
    Vissel Kobe 42.13%
    Draw 26.94%
Kyoto SangaDrawVissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.44% (-0.764 -0.76)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.28% (-0.278 -0.28)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 8.43% (-0.944 -0.94)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.3 0.3)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.94%
0-1 @ 11.41% (-0.57 -0.57)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.311 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.73% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.351 0.35)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.226 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.251 0.25)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.187 0.19)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, August 27 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-2 Reysol
Saturday, August 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 1-1 Hiroshima
Sunday, July 17 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, July 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-2 Kyoto Sanga
Wednesday, July 6 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-3 Jeonbuk
Monday, August 22 at 8am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 3-2 Yokohama
Thursday, August 18 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Consadole 0-2 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 3-0 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, August 6 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, July 30 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 1-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, July 16 at 10am in J1 League


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