Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Vissel Kobe
26.39% ( -0.33)	24.05% ( -0.08)	49.55% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.42% (

0.08)

45.57% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.1% (

0.07)

67.9% (

-0.08)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-0.22)

31.08% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.6% (

-0.25)

67.4% (

0.24)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.54% (

0.19)

18.46% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.35% (

0.32)

49.65% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 26.39%

Vissel Kobe 49.55%

Draw 24.04%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 49.55%