Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 56.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 19.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
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