SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lamia had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Lamia win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lamia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
20.31% ( 0.76) | 24.8% ( 0.56) | 54.88% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 46.85% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.55% ( -1.23) | 54.45% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.18% ( -1.03) | 75.81% ( 1.03) |
| Lamia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.12) | 41.58% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% ( 0.1) | 78.07% ( -0.1) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.21% ( -0.98) | 19.79% ( 0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -1.62) | 51.85% ( 1.62) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lamia | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.15% Total : 20.31% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.79% ( -0.15)1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.16)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.74% Total : 54.87% |
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