SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 14.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Aris Thessaloniki win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
64.86% ( 1.36) | 20.77% ( -0.42) | 14.36% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 47.37% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( -0.07) | 47.64% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( -0.06) | 69.84% ( 0.05) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( 0.39) | 13.93% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.62% ( 0.78) | 41.38% ( -0.79) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.04% ( -1.38) | 44.96% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.1% ( -1.12) | 80.9% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 8% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 64.85% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.75% Total : 20.77% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.33% Total : 14.36% |
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