SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
55.18% ( 0.13) | 22.96% ( -0.04) | 21.86% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.76% ( 0.06) | 45.24% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.06) | 67.59% ( -0.06) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 0.06) | 16.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 0.12) | 45.8% ( -0.11) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( -0.05) | 34.79% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.48% ( -0.05) | 71.52% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 21.86% |
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