SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 83.55%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 4-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (1.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
83.55% ( 0.1) | 10.79% ( -0.06) | 5.65% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.11) | 27.08% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.15) | 47.58% ( -0.15) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.35% ( 0.03) | 4.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.09% ( 0.11) | 18.9% ( -0.12) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.28% ( -0.04) | 48.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.24% ( -0.03) | 83.75% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Glenavon |
| 3-0 @ 10.9% 2-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.16% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.33% Total : 83.54% | 1-1 @ 5% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 10.79% | 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 5.65% |
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