SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
58.35% ( 0.02) | 23.11% ( -0) | 18.54% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.83% ( -0.02) | 50.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.87% ( -0.02) | 72.13% ( 0.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.09% ( -0) | 16.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.04% ( 0) | 46.96% ( -0) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.92% ( -0.03) | 41.08% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.37% ( -0.03) | 77.63% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.18% 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.54% |
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