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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 29
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Inver Park

Larne
2 - 1
Cliftonville

Millar (33'), Ryan (76')
Millar (20'), Thomson (69'), Cosgrove (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Addis (82')
Coates (20'), McDonagh (37'), Doherty (90+4')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Larne and Cliftonville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Larne
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Portadown
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.

Result
LarneDrawCliftonville
53.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.57% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.64% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.55% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.27% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)18.73% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)50.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Cliftonville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.22% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)37.78% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Larne 53.84%
    Cliftonville 21.9%
    Draw 24.26%
LarneDrawCliftonville
1-0 @ 11.85%
2-0 @ 9.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.84%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 3.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.9%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dungannon 0-3 Larne
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 3-0 Glenavon
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Larne
Sunday, January 29 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 2-0 Portadown
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-1 Larne
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 3-0 Portadown
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 1-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 4-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-3 Cliftonville
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 2-2 Coleraine
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Cliftonville
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership


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