Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Cliftonville had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Cliftonville win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.