SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 67.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Loughgall win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
14.42% ( 0.04) | 18.3% ( 0.04) | 67.28% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.06) | 36.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.07) | 58.41% ( 0.07) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( 0.02) | 37.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( 0.02) | 74.53% ( -0.02) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% ( -0.03) | 9.93% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.13% ( -0.08) | 32.88% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.42% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.3% | 0-2 @ 10% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0)0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.5% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 4.12% Total : 67.28% |
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