Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.