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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Oceane
L

Le Havre
3 - 1
Lyon

Lloris (18'), Sabbi (50'), Operi (62')
Operi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lacazette (54')
O'Brien (30'), Caleta-Car (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lyon

Le Havre have fared well so far on their return to Ligue 1 but could be dragged towards the relegation zone during the second half of the campaign. Lyon are on a roll after such a dreadful start to the campaign, and we reckon that Sage will celebrate his permanent position as Les Gones manager with three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Le HavreDrawLyon
30.5% (0.041 0.04) 27.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 42.22% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.46% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.53% (0.036999999999999 0.04)77.47% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)33.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (0.059000000000001 0.06)70.33% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58%26.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (0.0019999999999953 0)61.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 30.5%
    Lyon 42.21%
    Draw 27.27%
Le HavreDrawLyon
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.5%
1-1 @ 12.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.67% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 11.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81%
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 42.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Le Havre 2-1 Caen
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 1-0 Le Havre
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Nice
Saturday, December 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Le Havre
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 0-2 PSG
Sunday, December 3 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 0-0 Le Havre
Sunday, November 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Pontarlier 0-3 Lyon
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Nantes
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, December 10 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 3-0 Lyon
Wednesday, December 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Lyon
Saturday, December 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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