SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
58.72% ( -0.04) | 21.36% ( 0.01) | 19.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( 0.02) | 40.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.97% ( 0.02) | 63.03% ( -0.02) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.45% ( -0.01) | 13.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.36% ( -0.01) | 40.63% ( 0.01) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.94% ( 0.04) | 34.06% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.25% ( 0.05) | 70.74% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.91% |
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