SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Lille had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
37.66% ( 1.02) | 24.69% ( 0.13) | 37.65% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% ( -0.61) | 44.19% ( 0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.59) | 66.57% ( 0.59) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( 0.27) | 23.25% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.83% ( 0.39) | 57.16% ( -0.39) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.86) | 23.26% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.82% ( -1.27) | 57.18% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.18% Total : 37.66% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.65% |
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