Lyon's winless run in Ligue 1 could continue against a Marseille side currently playing at a higher level and with a strong record at the Velodrome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lyon
57.42% ( 0.02)	22% ( -0.01)	20.57% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.38% (

0.02)

42.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.98% (

0.02)

65.02% (

-0.02)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.39% (

0.01)

14.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.29% (

0.03)

42.7% (

-0.03)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

-0)

34.54% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74%

71.26% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Marseille 57.42%

Lyon 20.57%

Draw 21.99%

Marseille	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.34% 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.42%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% 0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.57%