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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 59.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Le Puy F43 Auvergne had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Le Puy F43 Auvergne win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Le Puy F43 Auvergne | Draw | Rennes |
18.07% ( 0.1) | 22.85% ( 0.27) | 59.08% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.92) | 49.77% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( -0.83) | 71.77% ( 0.83) |
| Le Puy F43 Auvergne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.61% ( -0.42) | 41.39% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.1% ( -0.38) | 77.9% ( 0.37) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( -0.45) | 16.51% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.75% ( -0.81) | 46.24% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Puy F43 Auvergne | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 4.79% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.07% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 11.08% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 3% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.95% Total : 59.07% |
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