Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Como had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
