Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.
