Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
