Parma
1 - 3
Lecce

Brunetta (7')
Sohm (58')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Coda (9', 76'), Tuia (40')
Gendrey (27'), Olivieri (46')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Parma and Lecce.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 61.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Lecce
17.88%	20.53%	61.58%

Both teams to score 56.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01%

39.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64%

62.36%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.18%

35.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.4%

72.59%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.49%

12.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.5%

38.5%

Score Analysis

Parma 17.88%

Lecce 61.59%

Draw 20.53%

Parma	Draw	Lecce
2-1 @ 4.91% 1-0 @ 4.6% 2-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.59% Total : 17.88%	1-1 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 4.48% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.53%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.68% 0-1 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.89% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-4 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 3.54% 0-4 @ 3.49% 2-4 @ 1.84% 1-5 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.67% Total : 61.59%