SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.7%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Lecco win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Como would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecco | Draw | Como |
23.79% ( 1.88) | 25.85% ( 0.47) | 50.35% ( -2.36) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.06) | 54.98% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.75% ( -0.05) | 76.25% ( 0.04) |
| Lecco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% ( 1.79) | 38.4% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( 1.67) | 75.16% ( -1.68) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -1.02) | 21.88% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -1.58) | 55.12% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecco | Draw | Como |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.55% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.6)1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.47)1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.35% |
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