Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Como in this match.
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