Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.
-0.05) 
0.15) 
