Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Como in this match.

Result
Ternana	Draw	Como
33.12% ( -0.19)	28.29% ( -0.07)	38.6% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 46.68% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.49% (

0.22)

59.51% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.14% (

0.17)

79.86% (

-0.17)

Ternana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.59% (

-0.01)

33.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.96% (

-0.01)

70.04% (

0.02)

Como Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

0.27)

29.9% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

0.32)

66% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Ternana 33.11%

Como 38.6%

Draw 28.28%

Ternana	Draw	Como
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.11%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.28%	0-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.6%