SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 54.93%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 2-3 (5.76%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
26.41% ( 0.25) | 18.66% ( 0.06) | 54.93% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 76.49% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.52% ( -0.08) | 19.48% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.66% ( -0.12) | 37.34% ( 0.12) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.97% ( 0.08) | 17.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.82% ( 0.14) | 47.18% ( -0.14) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.2% ( -0.09) | 7.8% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.29% ( -0.23) | 27.71% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.65% Total : 26.41% | 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)4-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.66% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)3-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 5.01% Total : 54.93% |
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